RSI Fakeout Filter with SMA Confirmation [CHE] Introducing: RSI Fakeout Detection
Are you tired of being caught in fakeouts that can lead to frustrating losses? The RSI Fakeout Detection is here to enhance your trading strategy by filtering out false signals and providing you with more reliable entries. This innovative indicator is designed to help traders identify when market momentum, as indicated by the RSI, does not align with price movement – a key indicator of potential fakeouts!
What Does It Do?
The RSI Fakeout Detection focuses on one key goal: avoiding false signals. By monitoring when the RSI exceeds a customizable threshold (indicating strength) but the price remains below a moving average like the SMA, this indicator highlights situations where the market may seem strong, but the price action doesn't support that momentum. In other words, it saves you from those tricky fake breakouts.
Key Benefits:
1. Reduce Risk, Increase Confidence: Get an extra layer of protection against fakeouts by receiving signals only when both RSI and price confirm the market's true direction. Avoid entering false breakouts and trade with more confidence.
2. Dynamic Analysis of SMA Lengths: It doesn’t just rely on one SMA. The indicator automatically analyzes and sorts through different SMA lengths to find the most reliable one for your specific market condition, ensuring that you get the best possible signal.
3. Tailored for You: With customizable RSI thresholds, a choice of multiple moving average types (SMA, EMA, Bollinger Bands, and more), and vibrant color-coded visuals, this tool is built to fit your unique trading style and preferences.
4. Spot Fakeouts with Ease: Visual cues make it easy to see when the market might be tricking you. Labels, plotted lines, and a toggleable disclaimer keep everything transparent and easy to understand.
5. Friendly and Intuitive: Whether you’re new to trading or a seasoned pro, the RSI Fakeout Detection is designed to be simple and effective. The labels and plots are clear, the alerts are timely, and it seamlessly integrates into your chart without cluttering it.
Why Choose RSI Fakeout Detection?
- Accuracy and Precision: By combining RSI and SMA analysis, this indicator minimizes the risk of following false trends and entering trades too early.
- Save Time and Reduce Guesswork: No more spending hours trying to figure out which SMA length works best – the RSI Fakeout Detection does it for you!
- Peace of Mind: Avoiding fakeouts means fewer bad trades, which can lead to more consistent performance and less stress.
Transform the way you trade, and step into a more confident trading future with RSI Fakeout Detection . Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, this tool will give you an edge by helping you filter out the noise and make more informed decisions.
Best regards,
Chervolino
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Cerca negli script per "swing trading"
Bitcoin CME-Spot Z-Spread - Strategy [presentTrading]This time is a swing trading strategy! It measures the sentiment of the Bitcoin market through the spread of CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread, the strategy seeks to capture mean-reversion opportunities when prices deviate significantly from their historical norms
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is designed to capture mean-reversion opportunities by exploiting the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. The strategy uses Bollinger Bands to detect when the spread between these two correlated assets has deviated significantly from its historical norm, signaling potential overbought or oversold conditions.
What sets this strategy apart is its focus on spread trading between futures and spot markets rather than price-based indicators. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread rather than individual prices, the strategy identifies price inefficiencies across markets, allowing traders to take advantage of the natural reversion to the mean that often occurs in these correlated assets.
BTCUSD 8hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy relies on Bollinger Bands to assess the volatility and relative deviation of the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bands, which help measure how much the spread deviates from its historical mean.
🔶 Spread Calculation:
The spread is calculated by subtracting the Bitfinex spot price from the CME Bitcoin futures price:
Spread = CME Price - Bitfinex Price
This spread represents the difference between the futures and spot markets, which may widen or narrow based on supply and demand dynamics in each market. By analyzing the spread, the strategy can detect when prices are too far apart (potentially overbought or oversold), indicating a trading opportunity.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
The Bollinger Bands for the spread are calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the spread over a defined period.
1. Moving Average (SMA):
The simple moving average of the spread (mu_S) over a specified period P is calculated as:
mu_S = (1/P) * sum(S_i from i=1 to P)
Where S_i represents the spread at time i, and P is the lookback period (default is 200 bars). The moving average provides a baseline for the normal spread behavior.
2. Standard Deviation:
The standard deviation (sigma_S) of the spread is calculated to measure the volatility of the spread:
sigma_S = sqrt((1/P) * sum((S_i - mu_S)^2 from i=1 to P))
3. Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands:
The upper and lower Bollinger Bands are derived by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation from the moving average. The number of standard deviations is determined by a user-defined parameter k (default is 2.618).
- Upper Band:
Upper Band = mu_S + (k * sigma_S)
- Lower Band:
Lower Band = mu_S - (k * sigma_S)
These bands provide a dynamic range within which the spread typically fluctuates. When the spread moves outside of these bands, it is considered overbought or oversold, potentially offering trading opportunities.
Local view
🔶 Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become oversold and is likely to revert upward.
Spread < Lower Band
- Short Entry: A short position is triggered when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become overbought and is likely to revert downward.
Spread > Upper Band
🔶 Risk Management and Profit-Taking:
The strategy incorporates multi-step take profits to lock in gains as the trade moves in favor. The position is gradually reduced at predefined profit levels, reducing risk while allowing part of the trade to continue running if the price keeps moving favorably.
Additionally, the strategy uses a hold period exit mechanism. If the trade does not hit any of the take-profit levels within a certain number of bars, the position is closed automatically to avoid excessive exposure to market risks.
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction is based on deviations of the spread from its historical norm:
- Long Trade: The strategy enters a long position when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling an oversold condition where the spread is expected to narrow.
- Short Trade: The strategy enters a short position when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition where the spread is expected to widen.
These entries rely on the assumption of mean reversion, where extreme deviations from the average spread are likely to revert over time.
█ Usage
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on price inefficiencies between Bitcoin futures and spot markets. It’s especially useful in volatile markets where large deviations between futures and spot prices occur.
- Market Conditions: This strategy is most effective in correlated markets, like CME futures and spot Bitcoin. Traders can adjust the Bollinger Bands period and standard deviation multiplier to suit different volatility regimes.
- Backtesting: Before deployment, backtesting the strategy across different market conditions and timeframes is recommended to ensure robustness. Adjust the take-profit steps and hold periods to reflect the trader’s risk tolerance and market behavior.
█ Default Settings
The default settings provide a balanced approach to spread trading using Bollinger Bands but can be adjusted depending on market conditions or personal trading preferences.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Period (200 bars):
This defines the number of bars used to calculate the moving average and standard deviation for the Bollinger Bands. A longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations and focuses on larger, more significant trends. Adjusting the period affects the responsiveness of the strategy:
- Shorter periods (e.g., 100 bars): Makes the strategy more reactive to short-term market fluctuations, potentially generating more signals but increasing the risk of false positives.
- Longer periods (e.g., 300 bars): Focuses on longer-term trends, reducing the frequency of trades and focusing only on significant deviations.
🔶 Standard Deviation Multiplier (2.618):
The multiplier controls how wide the Bollinger Bands are around the moving average. By default, the bands are set at 2.618 standard deviations away from the average, ensuring that only significant deviations trigger trades.
- Higher multipliers (e.g., 3.0): Require a more extreme deviation to trigger trades, reducing trade frequency but potentially increasing the accuracy of signals.
- Lower multipliers (e.g., 2.0): Make the bands narrower, increasing the number of trade signals but potentially decreasing their reliability.
🔶 Take-Profit Levels:
The strategy has four take-profit levels to gradually lock in profits:
- Level 1 (3%): 25% of the position is closed at a 3% profit.
- Level 2 (8%): 20% of the position is closed at an 8% profit.
- Level 3 (14%): 15% of the position is closed at a 14% profit.
- Level 4 (21%): 10% of the position is closed at a 21% profit.
Adjusting these take-profit levels affects how quickly profits are realized:
- Lower take-profit levels: Capture gains more quickly, reducing risk but potentially cutting off larger profits.
- Higher take-profit levels: Let trades run longer, aiming for bigger gains but increasing the risk of price reversals before profits are locked in.
🔶 Hold Days (20 bars):
The strategy automatically closes the position after 20 bars if none of the take-profit levels are hit. This feature prevents trades from being held indefinitely, especially if market conditions are stagnant. Adjusting this:
- Shorter hold periods: Reduce the duration of exposure, minimizing risks from market changes but potentially closing trades too early.
- Longer hold periods: Allow trades to stay open longer, increasing the chance for mean reversion but also increasing exposure to unfavorable market conditions.
By understanding how these default settings affect the strategy’s performance, traders can optimize the Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy to their preferences, adapting it to different market environments and risk tolerances.
True Strength Index with Buy/Sell Signals and AlertsThe True Strength Index (TSI) is a momentum oscillator that helps traders identify trends and potential reversal points in the market. Here’s how it works:
1. **Price Change Calculation**:
- **`pc = ta.change(price)`**: This calculates the change in price (current price minus the previous price).
2. **Double Smoothing**:
- **`double_smooth(src, long, short)`**: This function smooths the price change data twice using two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
- The first EMA smooths the raw data.
- The second EMA smooths the result of the first EMA.
- **`double_smoothed_pc`**: The double-smoothed price change.
- **`double_smoothed_abs_pc`**: The double-smoothed absolute price change, which helps normalize the TSI value.
3. **TSI Calculation**:
- **`tsi_value = 100 * (double_smoothed_pc / double_smoothed_abs_pc)`**: This calculates the TSI by dividing the double-smoothed price change by the double-smoothed absolute price change, then multiplying by 100 to scale the value.
- The TSI oscillates around the zero line, indicating momentum. Positive values suggest bullish momentum, while negative values suggest bearish momentum.
4. **Signal Line**:
- **`signal_line = ta.ema(tsi_value, signal)`**: This creates a signal line by applying another EMA to the TSI value. The signal line is typically used to identify entry and exit points.
5. **Buy and Sell Signals**:
- **Buy Signal**: Occurs when the TSI crosses above the signal line (`ta.crossover(tsi_value, signal_line)`), indicating that bullish momentum is strengthening, which might suggest a buying opportunity.
- **Sell Signal**: Occurs when the TSI crosses below the signal line (`ta.crossunder(tsi_value, signal_line)`), indicating that bearish momentum is strengthening, which might suggest a selling opportunity.
6. **Visual Representation**:
- The TSI line and the signal line are plotted on the chart.
- Buy signals are marked with green "BUY" labels below the bars, and sell signals are marked with red "SELL" labels above the bars.
**How to Use It**:
- **Trend Identification**: When the TSI is above zero, it suggests an uptrend; when it's below zero, it suggests a downtrend.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Traders often enter a buy trade when the TSI crosses above the signal line and enter a sell trade when the TSI crosses below the signal line.
- **Divergences**: TSI can also be used to spot divergences between the indicator and price action, which can signal potential reversals.
The TSI is particularly useful in identifying the strength of a trend and the potential turning points, making it valuable for trend-following and swing trading strategies.
Landry Light with Moving AverageLandry Light with Moving Average
Overview:
This Pine Script, titled "Landry Light with Moving Average", visualizes the relationship between price action and a chosen moving average (MA) over time. It helps users easily identify periods where the price stays consistently above or below the moving average, which can be a useful indicator of bullish or bearish trends.
Key Features:
Moving Average Type Selection:
The script allows users to choose between two types of moving averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
This is done via a user input option, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their preferred analysis method.
Moving Average Length:
Users can set the length of the moving average (default is 21 periods). This allows customization based on the trader's time frame, whether short-term or long-term analysis.
Dynamic Moving Average Color:
The moving average line changes color based on the relationship between the price and the MA:
Green: Price is consistently above the MA (bullish condition).
Red: Price is consistently below the MA (bearish condition).
Blue: Price is crossing or close to the MA (neutral or indecisive condition).
Cumulative Days Above/Below MA:
The script tracks and displays the number of consecutive days the price remains above or below the moving average:
Cumulative Days Above: Shown as a green histogram above the zero line.
Cumulative Days Below: Shown as a red histogram below the zero line.
This feature helps users identify sustained trends or potential reversals.
Real-time Labels:
The script generates dynamic labels that display the count of cumulative days the price has stayed above or below the moving average.
These labels are positioned near the moving average on the chart, providing an easy reference for traders.
How Users Can Benefit:
Trend Identification:
By visually representing how long the price stays above or below a key moving average, traders can identify strong bullish or bearish trends. This can inform entry and exit points.
Visualizing Market Sentiment:
The colored moving average line and histogram help traders quickly assess market sentiment. A prolonged green MA line suggests a strong uptrend, while a prolonged red line indicates a downtrend.
Adaptability:
With customizable moving average types and lengths, the indicator can be tailored to fit various trading strategies, whether for day trading, swing trading, or long-term investing.
Reversal Signals:
A shift from cumulative days above to cumulative days below (or vice versa) can serve as an early signal of a potential market reversal, allowing traders to adjust their positions accordingly.
Simplified Decision-Making:
The combination of visual cues (colors, histograms, and labels) simplifies decision-making, allowing traders to focus on trend strength rather than complex calculations.
Usage:
To use this script:
Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
Select the desired moving average type and length.
The script will plot the moving average, colored by the trend, and display cumulative days above or below it.
Interpret the Signals:
Use the histogram and labels to gauge the strength of the trend.
Monitor color changes in the moving average for potential trend reversals.
Incorporate into Your Strategy:
Combine this indicator with other tools (e.g., volume analysis, RSI) to confirm signals and refine your trading strategy.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders who follow the "Landry Light" concept, emphasizing the importance of price staying above or below a moving average to determine trend strength.
Uptrick: RSI Histogram
1. **Introduction to the RSI and Moving Averages**
2. **Detailed Breakdown of the Uptrick: RSI Histogram**
3. **Calculation and Formula**
4. **Visual Representation**
5. **Customization and User Settings**
6. **Trading Strategies and Applications**
7. **Risk Management**
8. **Case Studies and Examples**
9. **Comparison with Other Indicators**
10. **Advanced Usage and Tips**
---
## 1. Introduction to the RSI and Moving Averages
### **1.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)**
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator developed by J. Welles Wilder and introduced in his 1978 book "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems." It is widely used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements.
**Purpose of RSI:**
- **Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions:** RSI values range from 0 to 100. Traditionally, values above 70 are considered overbought, while values below 30 are considered oversold. These thresholds help traders identify potential reversal points in the market.
- **Trend Strength Measurement:** RSI also indicates the strength of a trend. High RSI values suggest strong bullish momentum, while low values indicate bearish momentum.
**Calculation of RSI:**
1. **Calculate the Average Gain and Loss:** Over a specified period (e.g., 14 days), calculate the average gain and loss.
2. **Compute the Relative Strength (RS):** RS is the ratio of average gain to average loss.
3. **RSI Formula:** RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
### **1.2 Moving Averages (MA)**
Moving Averages are used to smooth out price data and identify trends by filtering out short-term fluctuations. Two common types are:
**Simple Moving Average (SMA):** The average of prices over a specified number of periods.
**Exponential Moving Average (EMA):** A type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to recent price changes.
**Smoothed Moving Average (SMA):** Used to reduce the impact of volatility and provide a clearer view of the underlying trend. The RMA, or Running Moving Average, used in the USH script is similar to an EMA but based on the average of RSI values.
## 2. Detailed Breakdown of the Uptrick: RSI Histogram
### **2.1 Indicator Overview**
The Uptrick: RSI Histogram (USH) is a technical analysis tool that combines the RSI with a moving average to create a histogram that reflects momentum and trend strength.
**Key Components:**
- **RSI Calculation:** Determines the relative strength of price movements.
- **Moving Average Application:** Smooths the RSI values to provide a clearer trend indication.
- **Histogram Plotting:** Visualizes the deviation of the smoothed RSI from a neutral level.
### **2.2 Indicator Purpose**
The primary purpose of the USH is to provide a clear visual representation of the market's momentum and trend strength. It helps traders identify:
- **Bullish and Bearish Trends:** By showing how far the smoothed RSI is from the neutral 50 level.
- **Potential Reversal Points:** By highlighting changes in momentum.
### **2.3 Indicator Design**
**RSI Moving Average (RSI MA):** The RSI MA is a smoothed version of the RSI, calculated using a running moving average. This smooths out short-term fluctuations and provides a clearer indication of the underlying trend.
**Histogram Calculation:**
- **Neutral Level:** The histogram is plotted relative to the neutral level of 50. This level represents a balanced market where neither bulls nor bears have dominance.
- **Histogram Values:** The histogram bars show the difference between the RSI MA and the neutral level. Positive values indicate bullish momentum, while negative values indicate bearish momentum.
## 3. Calculation and Formula
### **3.1 RSI Calculation**
The RSI calculation involves:
1. **Average Gain and Loss:** Calculated over the specified length (e.g., 14 periods).
2. **Relative Strength (RS):** RS = Average Gain / Average Loss.
3. **RSI Formula:** RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS)).
### **3.2 Moving Average Calculation**
For the USH indicator, the RSI is smoothed using a running moving average (RMA). The RMA formula is similar to that of the EMA but is based on averaging RSI values over the specified length.
### **3.3 Histogram Calculation**
The histogram value is calculated as:
- **Histogram Value = RSI MA - 50**
**Plotting the Histogram:**
- **Positive Histogram Values:** Indicate that the RSI MA is above the neutral level, suggesting bullish momentum.
- **Negative Histogram Values:** Indicate that the RSI MA is below the neutral level, suggesting bearish momentum.
## 4. Visual Representation
### **4.1 Histogram Bars**
The histogram is plotted as bars on the chart:
- **Bullish Bars:** Colored green when the RSI MA is above 50.
- **Bearish Bars:** Colored red when the RSI MA is below 50.
### **4.2 Customization Options**
Traders can customize:
- **RSI Length:** Adjust the length of the RSI calculation to match their trading style.
- **Bull and Bear Colors:** Choose colors for histogram bars to enhance visual clarity.
### **4.3 Interpretation**
**Bullish Signal:** A histogram bar that moves from red to green indicates a potential shift to a bullish trend.
**Bearish Signal:** A histogram bar that moves from green to red indicates a potential shift to a bearish trend.
## 5. Customization and User Settings
### **5.1 Adjusting RSI Length**
The length parameter determines the number of periods over which the RSI is calculated and smoothed. Shorter lengths make the RSI more sensitive to price changes, while longer lengths provide a smoother view of trends.
### **5.2 Color Settings**
Traders can adjust:
- **Bull Color:** Color of histogram bars indicating bullish momentum.
- **Bear Color:** Color of histogram bars indicating bearish momentum.
**Customization Benefits:**
- **Visual Clarity:** Traders can choose colors that stand out against their chart’s background.
- **Personal Preference:** Adjust settings to match individual trading styles and preferences.
## 6. Trading Strategies and Applications
### **6.1 Trend Following**
**Identifying Entry Points:**
- **Bullish Entry:** When the histogram changes from red to green, it signals a potential entry point for long positions.
- **Bearish Entry:** When the histogram changes from green to red, it signals a potential entry point for short positions.
**Trend Confirmation:** The histogram helps confirm the strength of a trend. Strong, consistent green bars indicate robust bullish momentum, while strong, consistent red bars indicate robust bearish momentum.
### **6.2 Swing Trading**
**Momentum Analysis:**
- **Entry Signals:** Look for significant shifts in the histogram to time entries. A shift from bearish to bullish (red to green) indicates potential for upward movement.
- **Exit Signals:** A shift from bullish to bearish (green to red) suggests a potential weakening of the trend, signaling an exit or reversal point.
### **6.3 Range Trading**
**Market Conditions:**
- **Consolidation:** The histogram close to zero suggests a range-bound market. Traders can use this information to identify support and resistance levels.
- **Breakout Potential:** A significant move away from the neutral level may indicate a potential breakout from the range.
### **6.4 Risk Management**
**Stop-Loss Placement:**
- **Bullish Positions:** Place stop-loss orders below recent support levels when the histogram is green.
- **Bearish Positions:** Place stop-loss orders above recent resistance levels when the histogram is red.
**Position Sizing:** Adjust position sizes based on the strength of the histogram signals. Strong trends (indicated by larger histogram bars) may warrant larger positions, while weaker signals suggest smaller positions.
## 7. Risk Management
### **7.1 Importance of Risk Management**
Effective risk management is crucial for long-term trading success. It involves protecting capital, managing losses, and optimizing trade setups.
### **7.2 Using USH for Risk Management**
**Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:**
- **Stop-Loss Orders:** Use the histogram to set stop-loss levels based on trend strength. For instance, place stops below support levels in bullish trends and above resistance levels in bearish trends.
- **Take-Profit Targets:** Adjust take-profit levels based on histogram changes. For example, lock in profits as the histogram starts to shift from green to red.
**Position Sizing:**
- **Trend Strength:** Scale position sizes based on the strength of histogram signals. Larger histogram bars indicate stronger trends, which may justify larger positions.
- **Volatility:** Consider market volatility and adjust position sizes to mitigate risk.
## 8. Case Studies and Examples
### **8.1 Example 1: Bullish Trend**
**Scenario:** A trader notices a transition from red to green histogram bars.
**Analysis:**
- **Entry Point:** The transition indicates a potential bullish trend. The trader decides to enter a long position.
- **Stop-Loss:** Set stop-loss below recent support levels.
- **Take-Profit:** Consider taking profits as the histogram moves back towards zero or turns red.
**Outcome:** The bullish trend continues, and the histogram remains green, providing a profitable trade setup.
### **8.2 Example 2: Bearish Trend**
**Scenario:** A trader observes a transition from green to red histogram bars.
**Analysis:**
- **Entry Point:** The transition suggests a potential
bearish trend. The trader decides to enter a short position.
- **Stop-Loss:** Set stop-loss above recent resistance levels.
- **Take-Profit:** Consider taking profits as the histogram approaches zero or shifts to green.
**Outcome:** The bearish trend continues, and the histogram remains red, resulting in a successful trade.
## 9. Comparison with Other Indicators
### **9.1 RSI vs. USH**
**RSI:** Measures momentum and identifies overbought/oversold conditions.
**USH:** Builds on RSI by incorporating a moving average and histogram to provide a clearer view of trend strength and momentum.
### **9.2 RSI vs. MACD**
**MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** A trend-following momentum indicator that uses moving averages to identify changes in trend direction.
**Comparison:**
- **USH:** Provides a smoothed RSI perspective and visual histogram for trend strength.
- **MACD:** Offers signals based on the convergence and divergence of moving averages.
### **9.3 RSI vs. Stochastic Oscillator**
**Stochastic Oscillator:** Measures the level of the closing price relative to the high-low range over a specified period.
**Comparison:**
- **USH:** Focuses on smoothed RSI values and histogram representation.
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** Provides overbought/oversold signals and potential reversals based on price levels.
## 10. Advanced Usage and Tips
### **10.1 Combining Indicators**
**Multi-Indicator Strategies:** Combine the USH with other technical indicators (e.g., Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands) for a comprehensive trading strategy.
**Confirmation Signals:** Use the USH to confirm signals from other indicators. For instance, a bullish histogram combined with a moving average crossover may provide a stronger buy signal.
### **10.2 Customization Tips**
**Adjust RSI Length:** Experiment with different RSI lengths to match various market conditions and trading styles.
**Color Preferences:** Choose histogram colors that enhance visibility and align with personal preferences.
### **10.3 Continuous Learning**
**Backtesting:** Regularly backtest the USH with historical data to refine strategies and improve accuracy.
**Education:** Stay updated with trading education and adapt strategies based on market changes and personal experiences.
Panoramic VWAP### Panoramic VWAP Indicator Overview
The Panoramic VWAP indicator provides a way to display up to four Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) lines on a chart, each anchored to different timeframes. This indicator also includes options for displaying standard deviation bands and close lines, offering a comprehensive view of price action across multiple time horizons.
### Key Features
Quad VWAPs : The indicator allows for the display of four VWAP lines simultaneously. Each line can be set to a different timeframe, enabling traders to analyze market conditions across various periods on a single chart.
Standard Deviation Bands : Users can enable bands around each VWAP line, which represent standard deviations or percentage levels from the VWAP. These bands help in assessing volatility and identifying potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Close Lines : The indicator includes an option to show close lines, marking the price's closing level relative to the VWAP. This feature is useful for examining how the market closes in relation to VWAP, which can be important for understanding trend strength or potential reversals.
### How It Looks
VWAP Lines : Multiple VWAP lines are displayed, each reflecting different timeframes. The lines change color depending on whether the price is above or below the VWAP, indicating bullish or bearish momentum.
Bands : Optional bands around the VWAP lines provide a visual indication of volatility, with the potential to identify overbought or oversold areas.
Close Lines : These lines represent the price's closing level relative to the VWAP and can be displayed to add further context to the analysis.
### How to Use It
Trend Analysis :
- Price above a VWAP line indicates bullish momentum .
- Price below a VWAP line suggests bearish momentum .
Support and Resistance :
- VWAP lines often act as dynamic support and resistance. Price approaching a VWAP line from above may find support, while approaching from below may encounter resistance.
Volatility Assessment :
- Bands around the VWAP lines can signal areas of potential reversal. Upper bands may indicate overbought conditions, while lower bands may indicate oversold conditions.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis :
- The ability to display VWAPs from different timeframes simultaneously allows for the identification of confluence zones, where multiple VWAP levels align, indicating potentially significant support or resistance levels.
Customization :
- The indicator settings are customizable, allowing users to choose which VWAP lines, bands, and close lines to display, along with adjustments for visual preferences like line thickness and colors.
### Practical Application
Intraday Trading : Traders can use the VWAPs and bands to identify potential entry and exit points during the trading day based on price interactions with these levels.
Swing Trading : Monitoring VWAP lines across different timeframes can help identify key levels where price might reverse or gain momentum, aiding in decisions about holding or exiting positions.
Long-Term Analysis : VWAP lines on higher timeframes can serve as dynamic support or resistance levels, providing context for long-term trend analysis and investment decisions.
The Panoramic VWAP indicator allows for a detailed analysis of price trends and levels across multiple timeframes, combining VWAPs, standard deviation bands, and close lines in a single, customizable tool.
Money Flow Profile [Angel Algo]Money Flow Profile
Overview
This indicator is designed to analyze trading activity and identify key supply and demand zones using volume and money flow data. It is an advanced tool for traders who want to incorporate volume profile analysis into their trading strategy, enhancing their ability to spot potential reversal zones and understand market sentiment.
Features
1. Customizable Lookback Period
Description: Users can specify the number of bars to consider in the volume profile calculation, allowing for flexible analysis over different periods.
Functionality: This setting adjusts the depth of historical data analyzed, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to various trading styles and timeframes.
2. Row Size Configuration
Description: This input determines the number of rows (or price levels) displayed in the volume profile.
Functionality: By adjusting the row size, traders can get a more granular or more generalized view of trading activity at different price levels.
3. Data Source Selection
Options: Volume, Money Flow
Description: Traders can choose between using traditional volume data or money flow for the volume profile calculation.
Functionality: Money flow incorporates both price and volume to give a more comprehensive view of market buying and selling pressure, while volume focuses solely on trading activity.
Volume:
Money Flow:
4. Color Gradient for Volume Intensity
Description: The script allows setting maximum and minimum colors to create a gradient that visually represents the intensity of trading activity.
Functionality: This visual aid helps traders quickly identify areas of high and low trading activity, enhancing the interpretability of the volume profile.
Advanced Analysis: Supply and Demand Zones
1. Sentiment Analysis-Based Zoning
Description: The script analyzes the volume profile bars above and below the current close price to detect zones with significant buying or selling pressure.
Methodology:
Supply Zones: Identified by analyzing bars above the current close and finding the area with the highest selling pressure, indicated by volume delta.
Demand Zones: Identified by analyzing bars below the current close and finding the area with the highest buying pressure.
2. Volume Delta Calculation
Description: Volume delta, the difference between buy and sell volumes, is used to gauge the strength of buying or selling pressure at each price level.
Functionality: This calculation helps pinpoint the most significant supply and demand zones, providing traders with potential entry and exit points based on market sentiment.
Usage Scenario
This indicator is particularly useful for traders who focus on intraday trading, swing trading, or any strategy that benefits from understanding volume dynamics and sentiment at specific price levels. It allows traders to visually assess which levels are likely to act as resistance or support, based on historical trading activity and current market sentiment.
Conclusion
By integrating both traditional and innovative analytical methods, this Indicator offers a powerful tool for market analysis. Its flexibility and depth provide traders with valuable insights into market dynamics.
Outside Bar ProbabilityOutside Bar Percentage by Hour Indicator
Description:
The "Outside Bar Percentage by Hour" indicator is a powerful tool designed to analyze the occurrence of outside bars within each hour of the trading day. This indicator not only tracks the frequency of these key market events but also provides a detailed breakdown of their distribution, allowing traders to identify potential patterns and key trading hours.
What It Does:
Outside Bar Detection: The indicator identifies "outside bars," which occur when the high of a bar is higher than the previous bar's high, and the low is lower than the previous bar's low. These bars often signal significant market moves and potential reversals.
Hourly Analysis: The script tracks the total number of bars and outside bars for each hour (0 to 23) of the trading day. This granular analysis helps traders pinpoint specific hours when outside bars are more likely to occur.
Percentage Calculation: It calculates the percentage chance of an outside bar occurring for each hour, based on the total bars observed. This percentage provides a clear view of the likelihood of encountering an outside bar within a given hour, which can be critical for timing entries and exits.
Visual Representation: The data is displayed in a table format directly on the chart, showing:
Hour: The specific hour of the day.
Total Bars: The total number of bars observed during each hour.
Outside Bar Count: The number of outside bars detected in that hour.
Percentage: The calculated percentage chance of an outside bar occurring in each hour.
How It Works:
The indicator uses a loop to analyze each bar in real-time, checking if it qualifies as an outside bar. It then records the occurrence in arrays that track data for each hour.
At the start of each new day, the counts are reset to ensure the data remains relevant and accurate.
The percentage chance of an outside bar occurring is computed using the formula: (Outside Bar Count / Total Bar Count) * 100.
The results are neatly organized in a table that updates dynamically, providing traders with real-time insights.
How to Use It:
Identify Key Trading Hours: Use the table to observe the distribution of outside bars across different hours. This can help you identify when significant market moves are more likely to occur.
Time Your Entries and Exits: Understanding the likelihood of outside bars can assist in timing your trades, particularly if you use strategies that rely on volatility or market reversals.
Market Analysis: The percentage data can provide insights into the market's behavior during specific times, helping you refine your trading strategy based on historical patterns.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations:
The script leverages the concept of "outside bars," which are often considered indicators of potential reversals or significant market movements. By analyzing these bars across different hours, the indicator provides a temporal dimension to market analysis, helping traders understand when these pivotal events are most likely to occur.
The detailed hourly breakdown and percentage calculations offer a nuanced view of market activity, making it a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their timing and strategic decision-making.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, including those focused on day trading, swing trading, or even longer-term analysis. It provides a unique perspective on market activity that can complement other technical indicators and analyses.
Comprehensive Market Overview1. What is this indicator about?
The "Comprehensive Market Overview" indicator provides a holistic view of the market by incorporating several key metrics:
Close Price: Displays the current close price below each candle.
Percent from All-Time High: Calculates how far the current close price is from the highest high observed over a specified period.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures the momentum of price movements to assess whether a stock is overbought or oversold.
Volume Gain: Computes the current volume relative to its 20-period simple moving average (SMA), indicating volume strength or weakness.
Volatility: Quantifies market volatility by calculating the ratio of the Bollinger Bands' width (difference between upper and lower bands) to the SMA.
2. How it works?
Close Price Label: This label is displayed below each bar, showing the current close price.
Percent from All-Time High: Calculates the percentage difference between the highest high observed (all-time high) and the current close price.
RSI Calculation: Computes the RSI using a 14-period setting, providing insight into whether a stock is potentially overbought or oversold.
Volume Strength: Computes the current volume divided by its 20-period SMA, indicating whether volume is above or below average.
Volatility Calculation: Calculates the width of the Bollinger Bands (based on a 20-period SMA and 2 standard deviations) and expresses it as a percentage of the SMA, providing a measure of market volatility
3.Correct Trend Identification with Indicators
All-Time High (ATH) Levels:
Low Value (Near ATH): When the percent from ATH is low (close to 0%), it indicates that the current price is near the all-time high zone. This suggests strong bullish momentum and potential resistance levels.
High Value (Below ATH): A high percentage from ATH indicates how much the current price is below the all-time high. This could signal potential support levels or opportunities for price recovery towards previous highs.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Overbought (High RSI): RSI values above 70 typically indicate that the asset is overbought, suggesting a potential reversal or correction in price.
Oversold (Low RSI): RSI values below 30 indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound or price increase.
Swing Trading Strategies
Confirmation with Visual Analysis: Visualizing the chart to confirm ATH levels and RSI readings can provide strong indications of market sentiment and potential trading opportunities:
Bullish Signals: Look for prices near ATH with RSI confirming strength (not yet overbought), indicating potential continuation or breakout.
Bearish Signals: Prices significantly below ATH with RSI showing weakness (not yet oversold), indicating potential for a bounce or reversal.
Volume Confirmation: Comparing current volume to its SMA helps confirm the strength of price movements. Higher current volume relative to the SMA suggests strong price action.
Volatility Assessment: Monitoring volatility through the Bollinger Bands' width ratio helps assess potential price swings. Narrow bands suggest low volatility, while wide bands indicate higher volatility and potential trading opportunities.
4.Entry and Exit Points:
Entry: Consider entering long positions near support levels when prices are below ATH and RSI is oversold. Conversely, enter short positions near resistance levels when prices are near ATH and RSI is overbought.
Exit: Exit long positions near resistance or ATH levels when prices show signs of resistance or RSI becomes overbought. Exit short positions near support levels or when prices rebound from oversold conditions.
Risk Management: Always incorporate risk management techniques such as setting stop-loss orders based on support and resistance levels identified through ATH and RSI analysis.
Implementation Example
Significant Volume with Price Changes HighlightedSignificant Volume with Price Changes Highlighted
The "Significant Volume with Price Changes Highlighted" indicator by PappyTrading is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify significant volume spikes and price changes in the market. This indicator overlays the volume bars on the price chart and highlights them based on specific volume and price change conditions, providing a clear visual representation of market activity.
What It Does
This indicator calculates the moving average of the volume over a specified period and compares the current volume to this average. It also calculates the daily percentage change relative to the previous day's close and compares this to its moving average. The volume bars are then color-coded based on the following conditions:
Bright Green (#089981): Indicates a significant volume spike with an above-average price increase.
Bright Red (#f23645): Indicates a significant volume spike with an above-average price decrease.
Green with 60% transparency: Indicates a normal up day with a price increase but not a significant volume spike.
Red with 60% transparency: Indicates a normal down day with a price decrease but not a significant volume spike.
Additionally, the indicator plots a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) of the volume, providing a reference point to understand the general volume trend.
How It Works
Volume Calculation:
The indicator calculates the 20-period SMA of the volume and compares the current volume to this average to determine if there is a significant volume spike.
Price Change Calculation:
The indicator calculates the daily percentage change in price relative to the previous day's close and compares this to the 20-period SMA of the percentage change to identify significant price movements.
Color Coding:
The volume bars are color-coded based on the combination of the volume and price change conditions. This visual representation allows traders to quickly identify significant market activities.
How to Use It
Overlay on Chart:
Add the "Significant Volume with Price Changes Highlighted" indicator to your chart. The volume bars will be displayed at the bottom of the chart, color-coded based on the conditions described above.
Identify Market Activity:
Use the color-coded volume bars to identify significant market activities. Bright green bars indicate strong buying pressure, while bright red bars indicate strong selling pressure. Transparent green and red bars indicate normal market activity without significant volume spikes.
Volume Moving Average:
The blue line represents the 20-period SMA of the volume. Use this as a reference to understand the general volume trend and identify deviations from the average.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Volume Spikes: Significant volume spikes often precede or accompany major market moves. By highlighting these spikes, traders can gain insights into potential market turning points or continuation patterns.
Price Changes: Large price changes relative to the previous day's close indicate strong market momentum. By comparing these changes to their moving average, the indicator helps traders identify unusually strong buying or selling pressure.
This indicator is ideal for traders who want to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics by analyzing volume and price changes together. It is suitable for various trading styles, including trend following, swing trading, and scalping.
RSI DeviationAn oscillator which de-trends the Relative Strength Index. Rather, it takes a moving average of RSI and plots it's standard deviation from the MA, similar to a Bollinger %B oscillator. This seams to highlight short term peaks and troughs, Indicating oversold and overbought conditions respectively. It is intended to be used with a Dollar Cost Averaging strategy, but may also be useful for Swing Trading, or Scalping on lower timeframes.
When the line on the oscillator line crosses back into the channel, it signals a trade opportunity.
~ Crossing into the band from the bottom, indicates the end of an oversold condition, signaling a potential reversal. This would be a BUY signal.
~ Crossing into the band from the top, indicates the end of an overbought condition, signaling a potential reversal. This would be a SELL signal.
For ease of use, I've made the oscillator highlight the main chart when Overbought/Oversold conditions are occurring, and place fractals upon reversion to the Band. These repaint as they are calculated at close. The earliest trade would occur upon open of the following day.
I have set the default St. Deviation to be 2, but in my testing I have found 1.5 to be quite reliable. By decreasing the St. Deviation you will increase trade frequency, to a point, at the expense of efficiency.
Cheers
DJSnoWMan06
Tangent Angle Trend Lines by Mustafa KAPUZThis custom indicator dynamically draws trend lines based on the tangent angle calculated from the current price level, offering a unique perspective on market momentum and potential reversal points. Designed for traders who appreciate the integration of geometry in technical analysis, this tool provides an innovative approach to identifying trend strength and direction.
Features:
Dynamic Angle Adjustment: The indicator automatically adjusts the angle of the trend lines according to the current price magnitude, ensuring relevance across various price levels and market conditions.
Period Customization: Users can set the period over which the highest and lowest prices are considered, allowing for flexibility in analysis over different time frames.
High and Low Price Labels: Clearly labeled highest and lowest prices within the selected period provide quick insights into critical levels.
Angle-Based Trend Lines: Utilizes the tangent of specified angles to project future price paths, helping to visualize potential trend continuations or reversals.
How It Works:
The indicator first calculates the highest and lowest prices over a user-defined period.
It then determines the angles for the trend lines based on the current price, ensuring the angles are dynamically adjusted to reflect recent market activity.
Trend lines are drawn from the highest and lowest points, projecting outwards at the calculated angles to indicate potential future price movements.
Usage:
Trend Confirmation: Use the angle trend lines to confirm the direction of the current trend. Steeper angles may indicate stronger trends.
Reversal Points: Monitor where price action intersects with the trend lines as potential reversal points or areas of support and resistance.
Strategic Entry/Exit Points: Identify strategic entry and exit points based on the proximity and angle of the trend lines relative to current price action.
This indicator is suited for traders looking for an edge in their technical analysis by incorporating geometric principles into the analysis of market trends. Whether you are day trading, swing trading, or analyzing long-term movements, the Tangent Angle Trend Lines indicator offers a fresh perspective on price dynamics.
Enjoy exploring the markets with this innovative tool and may it enhance your trading strategy!
Unbounded RSIIntroducing the concept of "Unbounded RSI".
Instead of indexing the average gain and average loss, over the time period of interest, we leave the average gain and loss unbounded. Instead we "bound" them by difference of each and smoothen out this difference in an envelope using exponential average. See code.
What this does to traditional RSI concept?
No concept of "overbought", "oversold"
No concept of "60-40", "70-30" bands and arguments over it
No concept of "Range Shifts"
...
How to use it?
I am generally a positional long trader. So I present my version. Of course, I expect each individual who decide to use this concept, to come up with their ideas, based on their style and temperament.
The points below, I apply on a Weekly Timeframe Chart.
Once, we see a long consolidation and price breakout, we should be able to see "Green" histogram bars. These appear, once we have the stock at least 20% up from the 52WL and the "Unbounded RSI" has turned positive. This can be a good time to "enter" into the scrip.
The height of the bars are significant, since they essentially show, that the "gap" between the avg. gain and avg. loss is widening, indicating momentum. Swing trading can thrive in these environments I guess.
Falling heights indicate that gaps to close, though, the "gap can still be green". This means, momentum is now falling. Swing traders and "quick buck makers", would ideally book profits here. If the color of the bars still remain "Green" it indicates that momentum has reduced but still the gains are "more" than loss on the timeperiod selected.
Once the histogram turns red, it means that the gain is now lower than loss. An increasing height underground, means this loss is widening. Generally, this will corelate with price action (not necessarily volume).
At this time, exits should be looked for, may be also check other factors/indicators to decide, but surely the momentum and the gain% over the timeperiod selected has now gone.
Note for Pine Coders:
The source code can easily be modified to develop this concept further.
For example:
Use different smoothing algorithms
Remove 52WL condition and introduce new additional conditions
Instead of price change of the stock for gain/loss calculations, we use the concept of Relative Strength (RS, not RSI) and measuere the gain/loss based on a benchmark index . I intend to work on this concept, soon.
You shall see a variable "unboundedRSI" which is actually a ratio of the Avg. Gain / Avg. Loss. This ratio is not plotted. It is kept there, for future use.
Many more
Triple Confirmation Kernel Regression Overlay [QuantraSystems]Kernel Regression Oscillator - Overlay
Introduction
The Kernel Regression Oscillator (ᏦᏒᎧ) represents an advanced tool for traders looking to capitalize on market trends.
This Indicator is valuable in identifying and confirming trend directions, as well as probabilistic and dynamic oversold and overbought zones.
It achieves this through a unique composite approach using three distinct Kernel Regressions combined in an Oscillator.
The additional Chart Overlay Indicator adds confidence to the signal.
Which is this Indicator.
This methodology helps the trader to significantly reduce false signals and offers a more reliable indication of market movements than more widely used indicators can.
Legend
The upper section is the Overlay. It features the Signal Wave to display the current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 3), which can indicate extremely rare situations which can lead to either a softening momentum in the trend or even a mean reversion situation.
The lower one is the Base Chart.
The Indicator is linked here
It features the Kernel Regression Oscillator to display a composite of three distinct regressions, also displaying current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 2), which can indicate extremely rare situations.
Case Study
To effectively utilize the ᏦᏒᎧ, traders should use both the additional Overlay and the Base
Chart at the same time. Then focus on capturing the confluence in signals, for example:
If the 𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮 on the Overlay and the ᏦᏒᎧ on the Base Chart both reside near the extreme of an Oversold zone the probability is higher than normal that momentum in trend may soften or the token may even experience a reversion soon.
If a bar is characterized by an Oversold Shading in both the Overlay and the Base Chart, then the probability is very high to experience a reversion soon.
In this case the trader may want to look for appropriate entries into a long position, as displayed here.
If a bar is characterized by an Overbought Shading in either Overlay or Base Chart, then the probability is high for momentum weakening or a mean reversion.
In this case the trade may have taken profit and closed his long position, as displayed here.
Please note that we always advise to find more confluence by additional indicators.
Recommended Settings
Swing Trading (1D chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 45
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Fast-paced, Scalping (4min chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 75
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 3
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Notes
The Kernel Regression Oscillator on the Base Chart is also sensitive to divergences if that is something you are keen on using.
For maximum confluence, it is recommended to use the indicator both as a chart overlay and in its Base Chart.
Please pay attention to shaded areas with Standard Deviation settings of 2 or 3 at their outer borders, and consider action only with high confidence when both parts of the indicator align on the same signal.
This tool shows its best performance on timeframes lower than 4 hours.
Traders are encouraged to test and determine the most suitable settings for their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
The trend following functionality is indicated through the "𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮" Line, with optional "Up" and "Down" arrows to denote trend directions only (toggle “Show Trend Signals”).
Methodology
The Kernel Regression Oscillator takes three distinct kernel regression functions,
used at similar weight, in order to calculate a balanced and smooth composite of the regressions. Part of it are:
The Epanechnikov Kernel Regression: Known for its efficiency in smoothing data by assigning less weight to data points further away from the target point than closer data points, effectively reducing variance.
The Wave Kernel Regression: Similarly assigning weight to the data points based on distance, it captures repetitive and thus wave-like patterns within the data to smoothen out and reduce the effect of underlying cyclical trends.
The Logistic Kernel Regression: This uses the logistic function in order to assign weights by probability distribution on the distance between data points and target points. It thus avoids both bias and variance to a certain level.
kernel(source, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
switch kernel_type
"Epanechnikov" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? 0.75 * (1 - math.pow(source, 2)) : 0.0
"Logistic" => 1/math.exp(source + 2 + math.exp(-source))
"Wave" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? (1 - math.abs(source)) * math.cos(math.pi * source) : 0.
kernelRegression(src, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
sumWeightedY = 0.
sumKernels = 0.
for i = 0 to bandwidth - 1
base = i*i/math.pow(bandwidth, 2)
kernel = kernel(base, 1, kernel_type)
sumWeightedY += kernel * src
sumKernels += kernel
(src - sumWeightedY/sumKernels)/src
// Triple Confirmations
Ep = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Epanechnikov' )
Lo = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Logistic' )
Wa = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Wave' )
By combining these regressions in an unbiased average, we follow our principle of achieving confluence for a signal or a decision, by stacking several edges to increase the probability that we are correct.
// Average
AV = math.avg(Ep, Lo, Wa)
The Standard Deviation bands take defined parameters from the user, in this case sigma of ideally between 2 to 3,
to help the indicator detect extremely improbable conditions and thus take an inversely probable signal from it to forward to the user.
The parameter settings and also the visualizations allow for ample customizations by the trader. The indicator comes with default and recommended settings.
For questions or recommendations, please feel free to seek contact in the comments.
Triple Confirmation Kernel Regression Base [QuantraSystems]Kernel Regression Oscillator - BASE
Introduction
The Kernel Regression Oscillator (ᏦᏒᎧ) represents an advanced tool for traders looking to capitalize on market trends.
This Indicator is valuable in identifying and confirming trend directions, as well as probabilistic and dynamic oversold and overbought zones.
It achieves this through a unique composite approach using three distinct Kernel Regressions combined in an Oscillator. The additional Chart Overlay Indicator adds confidence to the signal.
This methodology helps the trader to significantly reduce false signals and offers a more reliable indication of market movements than more widely used indicators can.
Legend
The upper section is the Overlay. It features the Signal Wave to display the current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 3), which can indicate extremely rare situations which can lead to either a softening momentum in the trend or even a mean reversion situation.
The lower one is the Base Chart - This Indicator.
It features the Kernel Regression Oscillator to display a composite of three distinct regressions, also displaying current trend.
Its Overbought and Oversold zones start at 50% and end at 100% of the selected Standard Deviation (default σ = 2), which can indicate extremely rare situations.
Case Study
To effectively utilize the ᏦᏒᎧ, traders should use both the additional Overlay and the Base
Chart at the same time. Then focus on capturing the confluence in signals, for example:
If the 𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮 on the Overlay and the ᏦᏒᎧ on the Base Chart both reside near the extreme of an Oversold zone the probability is higher than normal that momentum in trend may soften or the token may even experience a reversion soon.
If a bar is characterized by an Oversold Shading in both the Overlay and the Base Chart, then the probability is very high to experience a reversion soon.
In this case the trader may want to look for appropriate entries into a long position, as displayed here.
If a bar is characterized by an Overbought Shading in either Overlay or Base Chart, then the probability is high for momentum weakening or a mean reversion.
In this case the trade may have taken profit and closed his long position, as displayed here.
Please note that we always advise to find more confluence by additional indicators.
Recommended Settings
Swing Trading (1D chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 45
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Fast-paced, Scalping (4min chart)
Overlay
Bandwith: 75
Width: 2
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 3
Base Chart
Bandwith: 45
SD Lookback: 150
SD Multiplier: 2
Notes
The Kernel Regression Oscillator on the Base Chart is also sensitive to divergences if that is something you are keen on using.
For maximum confluence, it is recommended to use the indicator both as a chart overlay and in its Base Chart.
Please pay attention to shaded areas with Standard Deviation settings of 2 or 3 at their outer borders, and consider action only with high confidence when both parts of the indicator align on the same signal.
This tool shows its best performance on timeframes lower than 4 hours.
Traders are encouraged to test and determine the most suitable settings for their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
The trend following functionality is indicated through the "𝓢𝓲𝓰𝓷𝓪𝓵 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮" Line, with optional "Up" and "Down" arrows to denote trend directions only (toggle “Show Trend Signals”).
Methodology
The Kernel Regression Oscillator takes three distinct kernel regression functions,
used at similar weight, in order to calculate a balanced and smooth composite of the regressions. Part of it are:
The Epanechnikov Kernel Regression: Known for its efficiency in smoothing data by assigning less weight to data points further away from the target point than closer data points, effectively reducing variance.
The Wave Kernel Regression: Similarly assigning weight to the data points based on distance, it captures repetitive and thus wave-like patterns within the data to smoothen out and reduce the effect of underlying cyclical trends.
The Logistic Kernel Regression: This uses the logistic function in order to assign weights by probability distribution on the distance between data points and target points. It thus avoids both bias and variance to a certain level.
kernel(source, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
switch kernel_type
"Epanechnikov" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? 0.75 * (1 - math.pow(source, 2)) : 0.0
"Logistic" => 1/math.exp(source + 2 + math.exp(-source))
"Wave" => math.abs(source) <= 1 ? (1 - math.abs(source)) * math.cos(math.pi * source) : 0.
kernelRegression(src, bandwidth, kernel_type) =>
sumWeightedY = 0.
sumKernels = 0.
for i = 0 to bandwidth - 1
base = i*i/math.pow(bandwidth, 2)
kernel = kernel(base, 1, kernel_type)
sumWeightedY += kernel * src
sumKernels += kernel
(src - sumWeightedY/sumKernels)/src
// Triple Confirmations
Ep = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Epanechnikov' )
Lo = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Logistic' )
Wa = kernelRegression(source, bandwidth, 'Wave' )
By combining these regressions in an unbiased average, we follow our principle of achieving confluence for a signal or a decision, by stacking several edges to increase the probability that we are correct.
// Average
AV = math.avg(Ep, Lo, Wa)
The Standard Deviation bands take defined parameters from the user, in this case sigma of ideally between 2 to 3,
to help the indicator detect extremely improbable conditions and thus take an inversely probable signal from it to forward to the user.
The parameter settings and also the visualizations allow for ample customizations by the trader. The indicator comes with default and recommended settings.
For questions or recommendations, please feel free to seek contact in the comments.
Re-Anchoring VWAP TripleThe Triple Re-Anchoring VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) indicator is a tool designed for traders seeking a deeper understanding of market trends and key price levels. This indicator dynamically recalibrates VWAP calculations based on significant market pivot points, offering a unique perspective on potential support and resistance levels.
Key Features:
Dynamic Re-anchoring at All-Time Highs (ATH) : The first layer of this indicator continuously tracks the all-time high and recalibrates the VWAP from each new ATH. This VWAP line, typically acting as a dynamic resistance level, offers insights into the overbought conditions and potential reversal zones.
Adaptive Re-anchoring to Post-ATH Lows : The second component of the indicator shifts focus to the market's reaction post-ATH. It identifies the lowest low following an ATH and re-anchors the VWAP calculation from this point. This VWAP line often serves as a dynamic support level, highlighting key areas where the market finds value after a significant high.
Re-anchoring to Highs After Post-ATH Lows : The third element of this tool takes adaptation one step further by tracking the highest high achieved after the lowest low post-ATH. This VWAP line can act as either support or resistance, providing a nuanced view of the market's valuation in the recovery phase or during consolidation after a significant low.
Applications:
Trend Confirmation and Reversal Signals : By comparing the price action relative to the dynamically anchored VWAP lines, traders can gauge the strength of the trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Exit Points : By highlighting significant support and resistance areas, it assists in determining optimal entry and exit points, particularly in swing trading and mean reversion strategies.
Enhanced Market Insight : The dynamic nature of the indicator, with its shifting anchor points, offers a refined understanding of market sentiment and valuation changes over time.
Why Triple Re-Anchoring VWAP?
Traditional VWAP tools offer a linear view, often missing out on the intricacies of market fluctuations. The Triple Re-Anchoring VWAP addresses this by providing a multi-faceted view of the market, adapting not just to daily price changes but pivoting around significant market events. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator adds depth to your market analysis, enabling more informed trading decisions.
Examples:
Ceres Trader MTF Triple EMA with SmoothingDescription:
The "Ceres Trader MTF EMA with Smoothing" indicator is a versatile tool designed for traders who rely on Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for their technical analysis. This indicator uniquely blends the concept of EMAs with customizable smoothing techniques, enhancing the clarity and interpretability of moving average lines on your charts.
Features:
Triple EMA Visualization: Visualize three distinct EMAs on your chart, each customizable in terms of length, timeframe, and color. This triple-layer approach allows for a comprehensive view of price trends across different time periods.
User-defined EMA Lengths: Set the lengths of all three EMAs according to your trading strategy. The default length is set at 20 bars, but this can be easily adjusted to suit different trading styles and timeframes.
Flexible Timeframes: Each EMA can be plotted based on different timeframes, providing a multi-timeframe analysis within a single chart view.
Smoothing Techniques: Choose from five different smoothing methods (SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA) to refine the EMA lines. This feature reduces market “noise” and helps in identifying the true underlying trends.
Enhanced Smoothing for Longer Timeframes: The indicator applies an advanced double smoothing technique to the EMA of the longest timeframe, offering an even smoother line that is beneficial for long-term trend analysis.
Customizable Aesthetics: Personalize the appearance of each EMA line with a selection of colors, enhancing visual differentiation and readability.
Benefits:
Versatility: Suitable for various trading styles, including swing trading, day trading, and long-term trend following.
Clarity in Trend Analysis: The smoothing techniques help in filtering out market noise, making it easier to identify meaningful trends.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: The ability to view EMAs from different timeframes simultaneously offers a comprehensive analysis, saving time and enhancing decision-making.
Ideal for: Traders looking for a customizable and insightful way to use EMAs in their market analysis. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, this indicator's flexibility and depth can add significant value to your technical analysis toolkit.
ATRMonitor: Dynamic ATR and RSI-Based HistogramThe ATRMonitor is a cutting-edge technical indicator designed for traders seeking to harness the combined power of Average True Range (ATR) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) in one intuitive histogram. This innovative tool plots a histogram based on the RSI (6 periods), but with a unique twist: the color of each bar is determined by the relationship between the ATR (6 periods) and its Exponential Moving Average (EMA, 6 periods).
Green Bars: Indicate bullish momentum when the ATR is above its EMA, signaling potential strength in price movements.
Red Bars: Suggest bearish sentiment when the ATR falls below its EMA, potentially indicating weaker price movements.
Ideal for both novice and experienced traders, the ATRMonitor offers a straightforward visualization of market volatility and momentum. It's perfect for various trading styles, including scalping, day trading, and swing trading across diverse markets. Enhance your trading decisions with the ATRMonitor, your go-to tool for a deeper understanding of market dynamics.
PA HelperProvides a holistic view of key support and resistance levels across multiple timeframes. This versatile indicator allows traders to customize and configure timeframes, empowering them to make more informed decisions based on dynamic market conditions.
Configurable Timeframes:
Tailor your analysis to specific market scenarios by configuring the timeframes that matter most to your trading strategy. Whether focusing on short-term intraday movements or longer-term trends, this indicator adapts to your preferred time intervals.
Dynamic Support and Resistance Lines:
The indicator dynamically calculates and displays support and resistance lines based on the selected timeframes. This ensures that the analysis is responsive to changing market dynamics, providing a more accurate representation of potential reversal zones.
Color-Coded Lines:
Easily identify and differentiate between support and resistance lines with color-coded markings. This visual representation simplifies the interpretation of key price levels, enabling traders to make quicker and more confident trading decisions.
Aggregated Overview:
Gain a comprehensive understanding of support and resistance levels by viewing an aggregated overview of lines from different timeframes. This feature helps traders identify confluence zones, where multiple timeframes converge to strengthen a particular support or resistance level.
User-Friendly Interface:
The indicator boasts a user-friendly interface, making it accessible for traders of all experience levels. Effortlessly navigate through timeframes and settings, and quickly interpret the analysis for more effective decision-making.
The Multi-Timeframe Support and Resistance Lines indicator is a valuable asset for traders seeking a comprehensive and customizable tool to enhance their technical analysis. Whether employed for day trading, swing trading, or trend analysis, this indicator offers the flexibility and precision needed to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully.
ICT NWOG/NDOG [Source Code] (fadi)New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) and New Day Opening Gap (NDOG) are areas on the chart where price tend to react to and has the potential of moving from one gap to the next. These gaps can act as support and resistance zones where price can bounce of, or go through and retest. Areas of interest are the high, low, the Consequent Encroachment (C.E.), which is the middle between high and low of each gap.
Event Horizon is the 50% distance between two NWOGs and price tend to react to, and could act as Premium/ Discount between two NWOGs.
New Week Opening Gap (NWOG)
The difference between Friday close, and Sunday open. Consequent Encroachment (C.E.) is the area between two NWOGs.
Settings NWOG
- The Colors in the form of Current/Previous and line style for NWOG
- Background color to use for Current/Previous
- Number of NWOGs to use by the indicator (ICT recommends using minimum of 5)
- Extend Configuration:
-- Always Extend all NWOGs
-- Above and below only Shows the immediate two NWOGs that are above and below current price. These two NWOGs are recalculated as price moves
-- Any that is near current price Any NWOG that is near the current price, this can result in multiple NWOGs being displayed, with some overlapping
- Event Horizon only applicable when using the "Above and below only settings"
-- Show Date label and type of gap
New Day Opening Gap (NDOG)
The difference between Yesterday's close and Today's open.
Settings NDOG
- The Colors in the form of Current/Previous and line style for NDOG
- Background color to use for Current/Previous
- Number of NDOGs to use by the indicator, default is 1 but price tend to react to previous ones as well
- Extend Configuration:
-- Always Extend all NDOGs
-- Above and below only Shows the immediate two NDOGs that are above and below current price. These two NDOGs are recalculated as price moves
-- Any that is near current price Any NDOG that is near the current price, this can result in multiple NDOGs being displayed, with some overlapping
-- Show Date label and type of gap
Other Settings
Number of candles to use in calculation is used to calculate the size of the candles in order to derive the distance from current price. If current candle sizes is more important than over longer period of time then use 14 or near that number
Factor multiplier for distance test is the number above times X value. Lower timeframes require a higher number than a larger timeframe. If day trading, a value between 10 and 20 is probably best. If swing trading, a value between 5 and 10 is probably best.
Buffer How many candles beyond current price to extend the gaps by. this is helpful to provide cleaner view of the price action
75-100pipsGreen/Red Arrowed Buy/Sell signals are just simple buy sell signals based on SuperTrend, VWAP, Bollinger, Linear Regression
Purple Arrowed Buy/Sell Signals happen when the price/candle cross over or under the yellow outer lines (4.236 fib lines) It's extremely rare and hard for price to stay above these lines therefore we can usually and comfortably buy/sell it, a key information here though when price pumps or dumps super fast and hard to the point of crossing these borders, the trend might also be extremely strong and continous so even if the price temporarily goes back inside the borders as the lines expand over time price can continue riding or crossing these lines back again and continue the uptrend/downtrend, therefore crossing these outer borders doesn't necessarilly and always mean a reversal is due.
When analyzing the instrument you're trading the important factors for support/resistance areas are usually the outer lines like i said previously it's super hard for price to be outside these and will almost always get back inside quickly. The Middle thicker green/red line which is Variable Index Dynamic Average should also be a nice pivot line for major support and resistance . All the other lines are also important dynamic support/resistance lines.
Their Importance Order
1- Outer Yellow Line (4.236 Fibs)
2- Thicker Middle Green/Red Line (VIDYA)
3- Thinner Upper/Lower Green/Red Line (VIDYA +3, VIDYA -3)
4- The Rest Of The Lines (Fib Lines)
You can use this indicator in any market condition in any market to determine key support/resistance levels, use it for mean reversion through price expanding to outside of the most outer line therefore being overbought/oversold basically using the purple buy/sell signals or only follow the normal buy/sell signals or use it in confluence with each other. You can also use this indicator in confluence with your own manual technical analysis or other indicators/strategies you are already using and are comfortable with.
A good part is the support/resistance lines from timeframe to timeframe pictures the whole situation quite well, you can use lower timeframe to find your entry/exit positions and higher timeframe to find your key support/resistance points, they all should be somewhat in confluence from timeframe to timeframe anyways. My recommendation would be to look at 1HR, 4HR and 1D charts for swing trading and 5-15 Min for quick scalping/day trading
You should still probably at least take a look to higher timeframes so that you don't get burned when you realize there is a huge resistance line at price XXXXX on the 4 hour chart but you're expecting it to go above it on the 5 minute chart, it can go above it temporarily but we analyze everything on a closing basis so it most likely won't close above it. Again don't take a position or FOMO when price breaks a support/resistance line, we're looking for a CLOSE above/below them and a retest to see if S/R flip happened would even be better.
Sometimes the most outer line won't be the 4.236 (Yellow) lines as when it gets quite volatile the Thinner Upper/Lower Green/Red Lines (VIDYA +3, VIDYA-3) might cross them to be the most outer line, in this case i have observed that the trend is extremely strong this time price almost always doesn't go above or below the VIDYA line but can stay outside of the Yellow 4.236 Fib line for an extended amount of time (price will still get back inside the channel relatively quickly, just not as fast as the normal condition)
With Proper Risk Management and Discipline this indicator can be of great use to you as it's surprisingly successful especially at mean reversion and pointing out the support/resistance lines, they are so much more successful than your average MA/EMA lines.
wosabi Investment assistant and Swing trading CRYPTOThis indicator works to calculate the exponential moving average (EMA) of three symbols. The first is the symbol shown on the chart in front of you, the second is for Bitcoin (it can be changed), and the third is the dollar strength index (DXY), which can be changed.
- The indicator calculates the exponential average of more than one symbol that you choose from the settings
When one of the lines appears in green, this means that the exponential average (EMA) is positive. Each line represents a different value for the averages that can be changed from the default settings to any other appropriate value.
Every five lines represent the averages of the symbol, and the three symbols are separated by a dashed white line to differentiate between the indicators of the three symbols.
Note: The colors have been changed inversely for the third symbol (dxy). When the averages are positive, the color will be red, and if they are negative, the color will be green, as the current settings are suitable for encrypted digital currency symbols that interact inversely with the Dollar Strength Index, and the colors can be changed from the indicator’s settings.
Integrating the values of the three symbols into the Relative Strength Index, which can be changed according to the leading symbols that influence positively or negatively, and this varies from one market to another to give a clearer indication when the negative symbol rises or falls and affects the rest of the symbols.
The current settings are suitable for the digital currency market, and the symbols must be changed for the rest of the markets
Note: The second symbol is the positive influence and the third symbol is the negative influence
Anchored Moving Average By Market Mindset - Zero To EndlessAnchored Moving Average?
An anchored moving average (AMA) is created when you select a point on the chart and start calculating the moving average from there. Thus the moving average’s denominator is not fixed but cumulative and dynamic.
In this indicator, I've provided three different types of Anchored Moving Averages, viz., WMA, SMA and VWAP.
WMA is relevant if big moves are there.
SMA is relevant if volume data is not to be considered or if it is not available.
VWAP is the standard anchored MA, which is most commontly used. Is consider the volume data along with the price move.
In this indicator, Auto anchor is time based anchor. A trader can opt for Pivot Type Anchor or Volume Type Anchor or some higher resolution based anchor too. The length of the pivot lookback can also be changed by the user.
It can be used for intraday, swing trading and even for technical based investment purpose.
